The top two issues in the community I represent are affordable housing and homeless social issues. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . The retirement of long serving Labor MP Lindsay Tanner in 2010 produced a further switch in first preference support, the Greens finishing 1.9% short of Labor on first preferences and easily winning after being the recipient of 80% of Liberal preferences. Conceding and declaring victory is only a formality. Dan M, this is a fantastic result for the Greens and after a 1 term Labor government they will be in a great position to flip it next time. He has a background in tourism and understands the economic importance of protecting Australia's most important natural assets. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. Candidate Johnson said he planned on focusing on the citys continued upward trending growth. Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. . Daniel, the biggest problem for Labor at the moment is that their margin vs Liberals on how the current votes are breaking is smaller than the advantage the Liberals are getting over Labor on minor preferences. All the seats on the ABC website that are in-doubt will remain with the parties that currently lead them on the current counts. Canadian airline coming: Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, New police headquarters: Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Occupation:Realtor, private investigator, process server, notary, Education:Course study of sociology, with a concentration in forensic psychology, at Massachusetts College of Liberal Arts, Political/government/civic experience:911 dispatcher; Space Coast Young Republicans; NAACP Legal Redress Team; attends Melbourne Police Community Relations Council meetings; 18th District process server, Campaign email:rachael4melbourne@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:rachael4melbourne.com;Facebook: Rachael Bassett for Melbourne City Council. Stephen Mayne was the moderator. Preferences from fourth & further candidates total 21.8%, but 14% is with right wing groups which favoured Liberals over Labour over Greens strongly in 2019. In early 2022, the Victorian Government asked the Department to convene the Container . I thought this was Labours until I read ABCs Anthony Greens column in which he said he was going to call it for Labour, until the Labour candidate for Macnamara phoned him and said the Greens could still win it. Adams also points to the importance of focusing on the towns infrastructure needs. 0:36. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Live scores Keep across all the live scores and results from the Australian Open at Melbourne Park Melbourne - Federal Election 2022 Share 86.9 % turnout, final figures GRN retain Adam Bandt elected 12.4% swing from GRN Preference count Labor Party Keir Paterson 39.8% 38,456 Greens Adam Bandt MP 60.2% 58,050 50% It might be close but hard to see. 2018 State Election: A Meet the Candidates for the lower house seat of Albert Park was held at 6pm, on Tuesday, 30th October in the Boyd Community Hub. This due to running a more centrist campaign including accepting climate targets, not running on African Gangs etc. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel . The question would be whether Labor preferences would flow to the Greens at the same rate as Green preferences flow to Labor. Bandt worked as an industrial and public interest lawyer for the decade before his election to Parliament in 2010. As our community continues its development, it is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth. Melbourne Ports) Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Asher Cookson Candidate for Aston John Barnes Federal Candidate for Ballarat Matthew Kirwan Federal Candidate for Bruce The four candidates are incumbents Diana Adams, John Dittmore and Andrea Young, along U.S. Navy veteranWilliam Johnson, who sits on the citys Board of Adjustments. The 4PP results were: 1. Mathews was succeeded in 1931 by Jack Holloway. Had the 2013 election's 66% flow of Liberal preferences to Labor occurred in 2010, then Adam Bandt would not have won Melbourne. It included Port Melbourne, but also included a number of middle and upper middle class suburbs such as Albert Park, Balaclava, Caulfield, Elwood, Middle Park, Ripponlea, South Melbourne and St Kilda. The only things saving Josh Burns here today are the cratering Liberal vote and, most importantly of all, the perfect little gerrymander with Higgins. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. It also had a high proportion of atheists and agnostics, with 38.8% of residents answering "No Religion" in the 2016 census, compared to 30.1% nationwide. Occupation: Founder and owner of Plastics & Paper Direct, Education: Attended Brevard Community College, Political/government/civic experience:2003-04 Melbourne Zoning Board of Adjustment;2004-05 Melbourne Airport Authority;Space Coast League of Cities representative to Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization;2004-12 Melbourne Council Member District2 (vice mayor in 2006 and2010);2013 Brevard CountyCitizens Advisory Board;2018-22 Melbourne City Council Member District 2, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: Website under construction. Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). This made Adam Bandt the first Green to win a seat in the House of Representatives at a general election. Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. The city, for now, contracts out its fire services to the county. In other words, current vote trends are extending the Liberals 50 vote lead, and closing the Greens 495 vote deficit to push Labor into third. But the symbolism is incredibly important, with all the talk both before and after the election about the prospect of minority government and the low major party combined primary vote. I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. The successful candidates were: Canal Ward Tim Baxter (Deputy Mayor) Rhonda Clark Louise Crawford Gateway Ward Heather Cunsolo Peter Martin Marcus Pearl (Mayor) Lake Ward Andrew Bond Katherine Copsey Christina Sirakoff The remaining are all absentee, provisional and Declaration pre polls. Thats extraordinary, quite possibly the closest 3 way 3CP count ever, and I think a full 3CP recount if its that close is a very likely possibility. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). McCathie was born and bred in Melbourne and has a background in I.T. [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. William Bowe explains in his latest blog (from after yesterdays counting finished) that his results system is incorrectly calling it due to its inability to think in three-party terms. Further, I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department. The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. A study reviewing the need for a city fire station could come before the mayor and the other six CityCouncil members by October. But Melbourne differs from other electorates in two ways. They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . That is what is putting the greens in contention in both seats. There are 4,658 envelopes waiting to processed, only 200 of them are postals, they are late arriving postals which I guess will favour Greens or break even. The LIB/ALP 2PP here will be Labors best since before Caulfield was in the seat and the Lib PV may be the lowest in 5-6 decades. The former Labor members are Jim Matthews 1906-1931, E.J.Holloway 1931-1951, Frank Crean 1951-1977, Clyde Holding 1977-1998 and Michael Danby 1998-2019. Labor will emphatically opposite it. If all the remaining votes, using Kevin Bonhams expectation of 1750 postal votes, break exactly as they currently are, I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount. It was replaced by the division of Macnamara which had almost identical boundaries. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. After the exclusion of several minor party candidates with 7.3% between them, the three-candidate count had become Liberal 43.7%, Labor 28.7% to Greens 27.6%. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. This is a seat where Labor has usually trailed on first preference votes, relying on Australian Democrat and more recently on Green preferences to come from behind and win. Holloway had served as a junior minister in the Scullin government, and served in the Cabinet of John Curtin and Ben Chifley throughout the 1940s. i would part of the story here is that the Libs overperfomed in Elite areas such as Albert Park compared to May. I disagree with you Nimalan, its worth noting Labor still had a 7% swing against them and the Greens got a 4% increase in primary votes in one of the most gentrified areas of the Macnamara electorate (Port Melbourne). A list of profiles for Candidates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022 Labor 32.94% 2. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . GRN 28,657. Not just passing legislation in the House if representatives but also the symbolism of legitimacy that Anthony Albanese won a majority in his own right. This change slightly reduced the Labor margin from 6.2% to 6.1%. Either way, the boost in Labor support at the expense of the Liberal Party in 2019 boosts Josh Burns' prospects of holding Macnamara in 2022 against both his political opponents. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the Melbourne Airport Authority, which will overseea proposed $41 million budget next year. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. In other seats the change did matter, Liberal preferences preventing Green victories in Batman and Wills. Most of the candidates attended. I've heard lots of folks' concerns to everything ranging from stormwater runoff in the lagoon to age-friendly inclusion in the newly developed downtown areas. Pht sng trc tip trn u Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 trong khun kh gii VQG Jordan full HD tc cao vi bnh lun min ph ti Trc Tip Bng . Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. This will not onlyprovide tax savings, it will allow for a more equitable taxation of the residents of West Melbourne. Amazing result from Steph Hodgins-May and even if she doesnt win, hopefully it will energize her to try a 4th time. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40 km 2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay . What a fascinating race this has turned into. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel allowance, City Clerk Kevin McKeown said. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. Tony Penna, SRA President will be the moderator. Continue exploring need and feasibility of West Melbourne building a fire department. I dont agree, Pollbludger called this for Labor actually I just checked. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. He represented construction workers before the Cole Building Industry Royal Commission, represented unions and workers during the Ansett insolvency, and states that he was involved in prosecuting some of Australia's biggest clothing companies for breaches of laws designed to prevent the exploitation of outworkers. This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Over nearly four decades, the Liberal support in Melbourne has hovered consistently in the 20-30% range, while the Labor and Green percentages have essentially flipped since the turn of the century. Full distribution of preferences was just released in a zip file according to Poll Bludger, I downloaded it and had a look then. This must be a record for having the biggest difference between the primary vote and 2PP vote. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.). No way Labor comes 3rd. In Labor's inner-northern seats, the Liberal first preference vote hovers around 25% and Green prospects swing on Liberal preferences. Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. Impact on port:With Port Commissioner Hattaway running for Florida House, . Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. While Macnamara is mentioned as a possible Green gain, the playing field from which the Greens might emerge as victors differs greatly from that in traditional Labor seats north of the Yarra. Former Labor members include Bill Maloney 1904-1940, Arthur Calwell 1940-1972, Ted Innes 1972-1983, Gerry Hand 1983-1993 and Lindsay Tanner 1993-2010. The Green line plots the Green two-candidate preferred vote against Labor 2007-2013 and against the Liberal Party in 2016 and 2019. Current preference flow: LIB 47%, GRN 35.4%, ALP 17.6%. ALP 29,152 3. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. On those boundaries, for decades it was one of the safest Labor seats in the country, and Labor usually easily retained it even during severe nationwide defeats for Labor. In 2016, Labor actually suffered a primary vote swing of four percent and a two-party swing of two percent even as it nearly reduced the Coalition to minority government nationally. Bandt was easily re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor's vote slipped to third place behind the Liberal candidate. Third Issue:Supporting our first responders. J.D. Continue moving West Melbourne toward independence by building a potable water facility. I think the true boundary here is Hotham street which separates Port Phillip from Glen Eira.. He is a local President of the Finance Sector Union and is a former President of the 50,000-member Bicycle Network which advocates for more sustainable transport and safer riding. He has lived and worked in inner Melbourne for most of his life. Labors primary votes in all three of these electorates went backwards which should set Red flags in Labor HQ. Deakin is also Liberal, the trends are helping Sukkar there on postals. Please note that ballot preparation procedures vary by state and between jurisdictions within states. Of couse, the Liberals could drop to third (especially with Dutton as leader and Libs choosing to abandon inner city seats) even on the current boundaries anyway. The top issue is cleaning up the Indian River Lagoon. Gallop is a Criminal Justice/Breaking News Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. West Melbourne is building our own water plant, and now were talking about having our own fire stations. Shifts east losing Kensington to Maribyrnong in the west while gaining Clifton Hill from Cooper in the east, and a part of Brunswick East from Wills. Essential, Roy Morgan and Resolve Strategic were all well within MoE, while Newspoll-You Gov and Ipsos were right on the edge of an acceptable MoE, some would say over for Labour. Melbourne: 14 Sep 2022: 162(T)-22: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock Berth 3 East extension project restricted zone chainage extended: 02 May 2022: 408(T)-21: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock . Lots of renters and young people. Holding served in the Hawke ministry from 1983 until the 1990 election, and served as a backbencher until his retirement in 1998. If that happens, they win. Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. Eg. To put it simply, the AEC 3CP preference throw, which is now complete for all ballots counted so far, currently has Labor 50 votes behind the Liberals and 495 ahead of the Greens in the 3PP race. What they care about is what matters to me. Macnamara has a large Jewish population, and Michael Danby often argued against giving the Greens preferences in Melbourne Ports because of Green support for Palestinian causes. I will support the septic-to-sewer program, install more baffle boxes, encourage the use of low-impact development, and decrease our dependence on Lake Washington as our water source. What I care about is the community of people. I was thinking Mcnamara was a certain Labor retain at least on Election night but at this stage I think Greens would be favourites to win Mcnamara. Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. Contents 1 Members 2 Election results 2.1 Elections in the 2010s 2.2 Elections in the 2000s To date, I have been instrumental in working with our Tallahassee representatives to bring back $3 million-plus for water projects to Melbourne. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the. This was looking like a near-certain Labor retain but every batch of votes that has come in has been breaking exactly the way it needs to for the Greens to win, so basically they just need that to continue through the last 6000+ votes to win the seat, while Labor need the final 6000+ to be sufficiently weaker for *either* the Greens or Liberals for them to retain it. Should the Greens get up here, I can see all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously evaporate before the 2024 redistribution. The top issues in West Melbourne are the water quality, flooding and safety services. And no matter what the result, considering the Greens are currently third on 32.93% and all the remaining votes should favour them, I think its safe to say all 3 candidates will finish between a minimum of 33.1% and a maximum of 33.6% when the 3CP count is complete. LIB 29,202 2. She is a single mother and has four adopted children, two of which are from overseas. This campaigns main areas of focus are in keeping the city government of Melbourne accountable, maintaining the city of Melbourne's reputable business-friendly laws and ensuring lagoon-friendly policies for our residents. Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. The electorate, formerly working class, was much more demographically diverse on its final boundaries, with rapidly accelerating inner-city gentrification and high-density housing developments in later years. With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out. However, the problem they might face in that redistribution scenario is that removing the Liberals best area (Caulfield) would almost certainly drop the Libs to third place and make it an ALP v Greens count where theyd probably have a 5% margin to make up rather than a ~200 vote margin to get into a LIB v GRN count. [1] It also had a large gay and lesbian community. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed$242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. I project the following based on whats left to count: LIB 33.5% ALP Just over 33.3% GRN Just under 33.2%. Every pollster, except Resolve Strategic, overestimated Labour support and Essential correctly called L/NP support. This will be the last seat to be called I think. Since Labor already needs the support of the Greens to pass anything through the Senate, it doesnt make a huge difference in practical terms whether they also need Greens (or Independent) support in the House or have a majority in their own right. Dr Richard Peppard is a senior neurologist at St Vincent's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and in regional Victoria. Liberal 33.67% (31,327) 2. Filling vacancy: Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, Police chief vacancy: West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, City manager change: West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council. Florida 2022 elections. The four candidates are incumbents Diana Adams, John Dittmore and Andrea Young, along U.S. Navy veteran William Johnson, who sits on the city's Board of Adjustments. The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. You have entered an incorrect email address! Authorised by the Electoral Commissioner, Canberra, Register of political parties and decisions, Torres Strait Regional Authority elections, A4 map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 785KB], Map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 13.4MB], 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. Melbourne is already a great place, in my opinion. Holloway had won a shock victory over Prime Minister Stanley Bruce in the seat of Flinders in 1929, before moving to the much-safer Melbourne Ports in 1931. Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. History Melbourne Ports was an original Federation electorate. But that so far the postals have been better for Labor than the model projects so they are most likely to retain. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. It includes vmost of the City of Melbourne north of the Yarra, almost all of the City of Yarra, and a small slice of Moreland Council. I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department," Dittmore said. https://www.tallyroom.com.au/vic2022/albertpark2022/comment-page-1#comment-776581. The city of more than 28,000. It is Brevard County's fourth-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville. 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