To me, he's got the highest ceiling of the crew. In fact, DLF has its own very fine Dynasty Trade Analyzer for just that task. There's just a lot of ambiguity surrounding his situation right now. He's capable of that. He has underrated rushing ability, too -- he's often compared to Andrew Luck, and he could make a Luck-like impact on the ground in the NFL. That was used against Brown at the time, but things hit with. there's no shame in panic-picking Isaiah Likely. Treylon Burks, Drake London, and Garrett Wilson are good enough prospects that all three are defensible picks as the WR1 in this class. Team philosophies aren't static. Top-10 Rookie WR Rankings with JJ Zachariason. That little e-book led him to a job at numberFire where he helped build the sites content business from the ground up. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Obviously, it gives you a trade value of the deal offered: Of note, the above league is a start 11, 14-team superflex league so quarterbacks are valued highly. Brian Powers-USA TODAY Sports. This is Betting the Spread Week 17! 783 episodes totalling 227 hours, 19 minutes. There is some worry about athleticism with Long, though, and that could really limit his fantasy football upside. If you enjoy discovering fantasy football trends on your own, this may be the tier for you. A behind the scene look at ranking methodology and individual rankings vs the consensus. That being said, it is helpful to have everything in one place to access at your fingertips, and everything in the book makes sense to include. And things hit with Brown, too, who's now one of the best wide receivers in the NFL. He's one of 11 drafted wide receivers with a best-season yards per team attempt rate north of 3.0, and with a strong breakout age, Brown is listed as an 81st percentile prospect according to the model. The thing is, he's built like a running back, and he sort of plays like a running back -- he was often compared to Ty Montgomery in the pre-draft process, and Montgomery was also selected by the Packers back in 2015. Thanks to everyone who's supported, and I'm looking forward to making things better every step of the way. Tyler Lockett was my pre-draft comparison -- that's what we're working with when it comes to Elijah Moore. White doesn't need to carve out a specific role in the offense to flash receiving ability. On this episode, he looks at players you might want to trade away. He deserves support imo. His production wasn't all that strong in college, but he played the majority of his snaps from the slot during his final two seasons at Clemson. Rookie tight ends don't produce in fantasy football. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 22Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 3Post-Draft Positional Rank: 4Tier: 7. Trey McBride is stuck behind Zach Ertz, but that didn't stop Dallas Goedert from emerging. Both Burks and London are positioned to deliver strong rookie production even if they aren't immediately stars. Your last sentence alone is reason enough if you've been enjoying his content. That makes him a top-20 prospect at the position since 2006. Dulcich's downfield ability will make him well worth the risk if he hits. Sucks about the charts, I feel that I can create some baller ass tableau charts that get me the same data, but by then my head is so deep in data I forget the football. He scored as a 74th percentile running back in my model post-draft -- that's nothing to write home about. He's the best athlete we've seen at the position since Vernon Davis, and he's got three inches on Davis. To me, the Falcons don't make Pitts the fourth-overall selection to have him stay at the line blocking like the typical tight end. I'm a bit skeptical of Zamir White, but I'm not looking to be completely out on a big back with speed, particularly one who could be a clear-cut early-down starter by this time next year. Hes easily become one of my favorite podcasters quickly. For example, the record holder for rushing yards in a season at the quarterback position, Lamar Jackson, has four of the top 14 rushing seasons all-time for quarterbacks and has never finished worse than QB8 in points per game in his four starting seasons. Critical data provided by research and analysis ca His production profile wasn't very complete given the journey he went on in college, where he transferred to Oklahoma after playing at a Junior college, and then he was suspended for part of his final season. Tier: 1. For Cornell Powell, it has little to do with his analytical profile. RESEARCH & ANALYSIS of statistical trends within professional sports is having a massive impact on the game of fantasy football. He ran a 4.38 40-yard dash at his Pro Day, giving him one of the best weight-adjusted 40 times in this class at running back. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast. I have Dotson as the Superflex 2.06, which perhaps sells him short a bit if he can provide two years of decent production and maintain second-round value but that feels like his ceiling. You also get air horns. Michael Carter II is now officially a Day 3 back, and that doesn't bode well for his career success in fantasy football. If you find the statistics and process of fantasy rankings interesting it's for you, if you just want a fluff piece and to be told who to feel good about drafting go with something else. Kyle Yates is joined today by JJ Zachariason of Late Round Fantasy to run through their top-10 rookie WR rankings heading into the 2022 NFL Draft. He's still in a tier with a lot of the same players he was with pre-draft. JJ Zachariason has the perfect Skyy Moore comp, and I'm mad I didn't think of it. If we knew Deshaun Watson would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. It was good to see Nico Collins get Day 2 draft capital, and I think it was deserved. I pre-ordered mine for $20 (now $25) but I think it was worth it and you get to support a person you enjoy. under center, the Ravens have thrown the ball 846 times. 2. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 4Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 3Post-Draft Positional Rank: 3Tier: 2. He's a do-it-all back. This was our first Dynasty Superflex startup since the 2021 NFL Draft, and we did it right, going 22 rounds deep. This year Ill be answering questions from you via Twitter, Discord, or the old-fashioned way (via email). Jets WR Garrett Wilson. Here's how I put it pre-draft: "If Hall lands with an established receiving back, it could take him a few years to develop into a three-down optionakin toDavid Montgomery(0.98 YPRR). From who to trade for during the season to strategy that will change the way you think about the game, youre bound to learn something new from each episode. He's going to be bad. The Fantasy Playbook Podcast with Kyle Yates. was my pre-draft comparison -- that's what we're working with when it comes to Elijah Moore. Jahan Dotson can hit his ceiling, and I think I'll be just fine with my fade call. Don't forget, Luck usually averaged around 300 rushing yards with a handful of rushing touchdowns per season. After he went 20th in the NFL draft, it's impossible not to rank Kenny Pickett as the Superflex QB1 and believe me, I've tried. The. As I noted in my pre-draft rankings, one of my favorite stats about Fields came from numberFire's own Jim Sannes: 87.6% of Justin Fields' attempts last season came against top-50 defenses according to Bill Connelly's SP+ method. I bought and I really enjoyed his strategies for approaching the middle and later rounds of the draft for each position. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 10. Host of the award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast &@LiveTheStreamFF. Smith's best-season yards per team pass attempt rate -- the most predictive production-related metric in my model -- was 4.37. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 2Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 2Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 1. I think the guide covers more than the podcast (especially for referencing things), but totally get it if you thought some of it was redundant. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. If the A.J. Be notified about upcoming drafts, enhancements, free projections, Apex strategy articles, and a chance to win a free entry to a $125 fantasy league! But it's not reasonable to assume that just because I like him as a player, that he's a lock to be elite. Weather info Powered by Dark Sky. Not only that, but the opportunity cost for Buffalo being more pass-heavy was smaller than it would be for Baltimore. numberFire was later bought by FanDuel in 2015, where he spent over six years as Editor-In-Chief. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 18Tier: 11. I've seen posts in the Ratcliffe thread sh*tting on this concept and I have no idea why. Adams, one of the most prolific touchdown-scoring wide receivers of our generation, only once in his nine-season career had a TD/Target rate greater than Dotsons 11.5% rate last year when he scored 18 during his ridiculous 2018 year. He's 6'4'' and weighs 214 pounds, so he has the potential to be an alpha in the NFL. Or, at least, there could be competition. Dulcich profiles as a move tight end, meaning that he could theoretically share the field with traditional inline tight end Albert Okwuegbunam. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 11Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 7Post-Draft Positional Rank: 7Tier: 4. Pat Kerrane is the co-host of Ship Chasing, an avid high stakes player and a full blown "dynasty guy." Regular Season. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 18Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 2Post-Draft Positional Rank: 3Tier: 6. JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. The fear is that his role in the NFL is just that -- to stretch the field. 1 option. However, there are consistent areas we can look for value, find common edges and (perhaps) take advantage of mistakes by the broader consensus. In this episode of the Locked on Dynasty Football Podcast, Ryan McDowell and Matt Williamson discuss incoming rookie tight end Michael Mayer from Notre Dame, discussing his college production, strengths, weaknesses, dynasty value and projected NFL Draft capital. The draft guide is awesome and offers a lot more than just semi personalized rankings. Lit. Im huge on historical precedent and most of the names who have previously scored at least 10.5 PPG in their rookie season (since 2018) are pretty impressive, with the exception of Laviska Shenault, Preston Williams, and Chase Claypool. Najee Harris was at the top of my pre-draft rookie rankings, and then he was selected by the Steelers in Round 1, giving him the best landing spot of any . A lot of that is easy to explain, to be fair. The difference? Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 10Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 6Post-Draft Positional Rank: 5Tier: 4. 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