inductive argument by analogy examples

This article is an attempt to practice what it preaches. Hence, although such a distinction is central to the way in which argumentation is often presented, it is unclear what actual work it is doing for argument evaluation, and thus whether it must be retained. Mara, Amanda and Luca are feminist leaders and they fight to eliminate violence against women. Govier (1987) calls the view that there are only two kinds of argument (that is, deductive and inductive) the positivist theory of argument. For example, consider the following argument: It has rained nearly every day so far this month. 6. Salmon (1984) makes this point explicit, and even embraces it. Copi, Irving. An argument that proceeds from knowledge of a cause to knowledge of an effect is an . 13. The premises of inductive arguments identify repeated patterns in a sample of a population and from there general conclusions are inferred for the entire population. But those things are a bit out of the scope of this beginner's . For example, suppose that I have always owned Subaru cars in the past and that they have always been reliable and I argue that the new car Ive just purchased will also be reliable because it is a Subaru. The snake is a reptile and has no hair. In light of these difficulties, a fundamentally different approach is then sketched: rather than treating a categorical deductive-inductive argument distinction as entirely unproblematic (as a great many authors do), these problems are made explicit so that emphasis can be placed on the need to develop evaluative procedures for assessing arguments without identifying them as strictly deductive or inductive. This evaluative approach to argument analysis respects the fundamental rationale for distinguishing deductive from inductive arguments in the first place, namely as a tool for helping one to decide whether the conclusion of any argument deserves assent. Probably all Portuguese are workers. What might this mean? Deductive arguments, in this view, may be said to be psychologically compelling in a way that inductive arguments are not. Argument from analogy or false analogy is a special type of inductive argument, whereby perceived similarities are used as a basis to infer some further similarity that has yet to be observed. All animals probably need oxygen. Suppose that it is said that an argument is deductive if the person advancing it believes that it definitely establishes its conclusion. Francis Bacon: The Major Works. For example, if I know that one circle with a diameter of 2 . Poor diet probably weakens the immune system. If the arguer intends or believes the argument to be one that merely makes its conclusion probable, then it is an inductive argument. Deductive Forms: An Elementary Logic. Now consider the following situation in which you, my reader, likely find yourself (whether you know it or notwell, now you do know it). Ultimately, the deductive-inductive argument distinction should be dispensed with entirely, a move which is no doubt a counterintuitive conclusion for some that nonetheless can be made plausible by attending to the arguments that follow. Bob chose to have a luxury item for himself rather than to save the life of a child. See if you can identify any aspects in which the two things being compared are not relevantly similar, then click to check your answer: Source: Joe Lau and Jonathan Chan,https://philosophy.hku.hk/think/arg/analogy.php This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 License. Insofar as the locution contained in is supposed to convey an understanding of validity, such accounts fall short of such an explicative ambition. On the proposal being considered, the argument above in which affirming the consequent is exhibited cannot be a deductive argument, indeed not even a bad one, since it is manifestly invalid, given that all deductive arguments are necessarily valid. In . To assess this idea, consider the following argument: If today is Tuesday, well be having tacos for lunch. That is an idea that deserves to be examined more closely. Arguments from Analogy - Two things are compared and said to be alike in a new way too Generalization [1] In order to understand how one might go about analyzing an argument from analogy, consider the teleological argument and the criticisms of this argument put forward by the philosopher David Hume. That there is a coherent, unproblematic distinction between deductive and inductive arguments, and that the distinction neatly assigns arguments to one or the other of the two non-overlapping kinds, is an assumption that usually goes unnoticed and unchallenged. Reasoning by analogy argues that what is true in one set of circumstances will be true in another, and is an example of inductive reasoning. Example: Premise: You and a friend have very similar tastes in movies. Indeed, this need not involve different individuals at all. In North Korea there is no freedom of expression. Remarkably, he also extends automatic success to all bona fide inductive arguments, telling readers that strictly speaking, there are no incorrect deductive or inductive arguments; there are valid deductions, correct inductions, and assorted fallacious arguments. Essentially, therefore, one has a taxonomy of good and bad arguments. A sparrow is very different from a car, but they are still similar in that they can both move. So all the numbers multiplied by zero result in zero. These types of inductive reasoning work in arguments and in making a hypothesis in mathematics or science. They are just too polymorphic to be represented in purely formal notation. So, for example, what might initially have seemed like a single argument (say, St. Anselm of Canterburys famous ontological argument for the existence of God) might turn out in this view to be any number of different arguments because different thinkers may harbor different degrees of intention or belief about how well the arguments premises support its conclusion. Likewise, the following argument would be an inductive argument if person A claims that its premise provides less than conclusive support for its conclusion: A random sample of voters in Los Angeles County supports a new leash law for pet turtles; so, the law will probably pass by a very wide margin. Bill Cosby used his power and position to seduce and rape women. Today during the storm, thunder was heard after the lightning. Pointing out these consequences does not show that the necessitarian approach is wrong, however. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2006. I do not need to have them and I could get a much cheaper caffeine fix, if I chose to (for example, I could make a strong cup of coffee at my office and put sweetened hazelnut creamer in it). 2 http://www.givewell.org/giving101/Yorther-overseas. Suppose, however, that one takes arguments themselves to be the sorts of things that can purport to support their conclusions either conclusively or with strong probability. Arguments just need to be multiplied as needed. In short, one does not need a categorical distinction between deductive and inductive arguments at all in order to successfully carry out argument evaluation.. This calls into question the aptness of the contained in metaphor for explaining the relationship between premises and conclusions regarding valid arguments. We can refer to these as the " analogues ". For example there is a somewhat puzzling claim (see pp. In other words, deductive arguments, in this view, are explicative, whereas inductive arguments are ampliative. This is apparently defended (pp. Construct ONE inductive Argument by Example. A strong inductive argument is said to be one whose premises render the conclusion likely. Inductive arguments are made by reasoning from the specific to general and take different forms. Deductive reasoning is a type of reasoning that uses formal logic and observations to prove a theory or hypothesis. However, by the same token, the foregoing argument equally would be an inductive argument if person B claims (even insincerely so, since psychological factors are by definition irrelevant under this view) that its premises provide only less than conclusive support for its conclusion. To argue by analogy is to argue that because two things . The bolero "Sabor a me" speaks of love. To give an analogy is to claim that two distinct things are alike or similar in some respect. Examples of the analog or comparative argument. Therefore, Dr. Van Cleave should not give Mary an excused absence either. In a later edition of the same work, he says that We may summarize by saying that the inductive argument expands upon the content of the premises by sacrificing necessity, whereas the deductive argument achieves necessity by sacrificing any expansion of content (Salmon 1984). If one finds these consequences irksome, one could opt to individuate arguments on the basis of claims about them. One could opt to individuate arguments on the basis of individuals specific intentions or beliefs about them. Alfred Engel. One might judge it to be an inductive argument on that basis. Likewise, one might be informed that In a deductive argument, the conclusion makes explicit a bit of information already implicit in the premises Deductive inference involves the rearranging of information. By contrast, The conclusion of an inductive argument goes beyond the premises (Churchill 1986). Consider this argument: This argument is of course not deductively valid. Probably all the planets revolve around the Sun and are spheroids. Problems in Argument Analysis and Evaluation. Inductive Arguments For each argument below, (a) determine whether the argument is an enumerative induction, a statis-tical syllogism, or an analogical induction; (b) identify the conclusion of the argument; (c) identify the principal components of the argument (for enumerative induction, identify the target population, Yet, the whole point of examining an argument in first place is nevertheless achieved with this approach. Guava supports the immune system. Inductive Arguments. All men are mortal. Hurley, Patrick J. and Lori Watson. . Therefore, Senator Blowhard will be re-elected. Much to his alarm, he sees a train coming towards the child. Alas, other problems loom as well. Reasoning is something that some rational agents do on some occasions. At least in this case, adding a premise makes a difference. Such an approach bypasses the problems associated with categorical approaches that attempt to draw a sharp distinction between deductive and inductive arguments. This would resolve the problem of distinguishing between deductive and inductive arguments, but at the cost of circularity (that is, by committing a logical fallacy). However, if someone advancing this argument believes that the conclusion is merely probable given the premises, then it would, according to this psychological proposal, necessarily be an inductive argument, and not just merely be believed to be so, given that it meets a sufficient condition for being inductive. Is the above the right sort of rule, however? ), I am probably . So, an inductive argument's success or strength is a matter of degree, unlike with deductive arguments. In this latter case, one ought not to believe the arguments conclusion on the strength of its premises. No two things are exactly alike, & no two cases are totally different. Mara Restrepo speaks Spanish. The universe is a lot more complicated, so it must have been [1] When a person has a bad experience with a product and decides not to buy anything further from the producer, this is often a case of analogical reasoning. Someone, being the intentional agent they are, may purport to be telling the truth, or rather may purport to have more formal authority than they really possess, just to give a couple examples. To give an analogy is to claim that two distinct things are alike or similar in some respect. that it is more likely for X to be boring than to be interesting. Part of the appeal of such proposals is that they seem to provide philosophers with an understanding of how premises and conclusions are related to one another in valid deductive arguments. The Power of Critical Thinking: Effective Reasoning about Ordinary and Extraordinary Claims. If Ive owned ten Subarus then the inference seems much stronger. If the argument is weak, cite what you think would be a relevant disanalogy. By taking into account both examples and your understanding of how the world works, induction allows you to conclude that something is likely to be true. Is this argument a strong or weak inductive argument? Such conclusions are always considered probable. Therefore this poodle will probably bite me too. deontic logic, modal logic).Thus, the following argument is invalid: (1) If Japan did not exist, we would . Last modified: Tuesday, June 22, 2021, 2:31 PM, PHIL102: Introduction to Critical Thinking and Logic, Unit 1: Introduction and Meaning Analysis, Unit 7: Strategic Reasoning and Creativity, https://philosophy.hku.hk/think/arg/analogy.php, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 License, Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported. If person A believes that the premise in the argument Dom Prignon is a champagne; so, it is made in France definitely establishes its conclusion (perhaps on the grounds that champagne is a type of sparkling wine produced only in the Champagne wine region of France), then according to the psychological approach being considered, this would be a deductive argument. At just that moment, he sees a switch near him that he can throw to change the direction of the tracks and divert the train onto another set of tracks so that it wont hit the child. Be that as it may, there are yet other logical consequences of adopting such a psychological account of the deductive-inductive argument distinction that, taken together with the foregoing considerations, may raise doubts about whether such an account could be the best way to capture the relevant distinction. Analogical reasoning is one of the most fundamental tools used in creating an argument. However, there are other troubling consequences of adopting a psychological approach to consider. Induction. The Encyclopedia of Philosophy. Realizing this, Bob decides not to throw the switch and the train strikes and kills the child, leaving his car unharmed. . Engel, S. Morris. On the other hand, were one to acquire the premise Socrates is a god, this also would greatly affect the argument, specifically by weakening it. The word necessarily could be taken to signal that this argument purports to be a deductive argument. 1) Getting a cold drink correlates with the weather getting hotter. The teleological argument is an argument by analogy. Kreeft, Peter. Psychological approaches are, broadly speaking, cognitive. Specific observation. Any L'argument based on some already-known similarities between things that concludes some additional point of similarity between them is inductive Argument by Analogy. We wouldn't think that a watch can come about by accident. False. Since no alternative unproblematic account of the deduction-induction distinction has been presented thus far, such consequences cannot show that a behavioral approach is simply wrong. Every number raised to the exponent of one is equal to itself. However, upon closer analysis these other approaches fare no better than the various psychological approaches thus far considered. So in general, when we make use of analogical arguments, it is important to make clear in what ways are two things supposed to be similar. For example, someone might give the following argument: All men are mortal. Second, one is to then determine whether the argument is valid or invalid. Inductive reasoning is used to show the likelihood that an argument will prove true in the future. 5. Pointing to paradigmatic examples of each type of argument helps to clarify their key differences. Jos is Venezuelan and has a very good sense of humor. Were I to donate that amount (just $40/month) to an organization such as the Against Malaria Foundation, I could save a childs life in just six years.2 Given these facts, and comparing these two scenarios (Bobs and your own), the argument from analogy proceeds like this: 1. All of these proposals entail problems of one sort or another. In a very famous article, "A Defense of Abortion", written in 1971, philosopher Judith Thomson argues for a woman's right to have an abortion in the case of unwanted Like the Earth, Europa has an atmosphere containing oxygen. Fort Worth: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1993. Govier, Trudy. Construct ONE inductive Argument from Authority. Probably all boleros speak of love. An analogical argument is an explicit representation of a form of analogical reasoning that cites accepted similarities between two systems to support the conclusion that some further . A, B, and C all have quality r. Therefore, D has quality r also. Deductive arguments are sometimes illustrated by providing an example in which an arguments premises logically entail its conclusion. As such, then, the evidential completeness approach looks promising. This argument instantiates the logical rule modus tollens: Perhaps all deductive arguments explicitly or implicitly rely upon logical rules. Although a distinction between deductive and inductive arguments is deeply woven into philosophy, and indeed into everyday life, many people probably first encounter an explicit distinction between these two kinds of argument in a pedagogical context. This is where you might draw a conclusion about the future using information from the past. Since we have no problem at all inferring that such objects must have had an intelligent designer who created it for some purpose, we ought to draw the same conclusion for another complex and apparently designed object: the universe. The probable nature of inductions can be seen from the following example which shows how inductive arguments, proceeding by analogy, could lead to a false comparison. What someone explicitly claims an argument shows can usually, or at least often, be determined rather unproblematically. Mars, Earth, and Neptune revolve around the Sun and are spheroids. I feel pain when someone hits me in the face with a hockey puck. Therefore, it is entirely possible on this psychological view for the same argument to be both a deductive and an inductive argument. So, well be having tacos for lunch. Luckily, there are other approaches. 3 The argument is clearly invalid since it is possible for (1), (1a), and (2) to be true and (3) false. 18. To offer another example, consider this argument: It has rained every day so far this month. The notion of validity, therefore, appears to neatly sort arguments into either of the two categorically different argument types deductive or inductive. Author Information: All Renaissance paintings are applied chiaroscuro. Analogical reasoning is one of the most common methods by which human beings attempt to understand the world and make decisions. However, the set of implicit constraints described above make analogy a relatively 'tight' form of inductive reasoning . New York: Macmillan Publishing Co., Inc. & The Free Press, 1967. This behavioral approach thus promises to circumvent the epistemic problems facing psychological approaches. Something so complicated must have been created by someone. The dolphin has lungs. [1] But then just as the snowflake's order and complexity itself might not have direction, the causes of the order and complexity might. On a similar note, the same ostensible single argument may turn out to be any number of arguments if the same individual entertains different intentions or beliefs (or different degrees of intention or belief) at different times concerning how well its premises support its conclusion, as when one reflects upon an argument for some time. 17. There must not be any relevant disanalogies between the two things being compared. It is therefore safe to say that a distinction between deductive and inductive arguments is fundamental to argument analysis in philosophy. However, the situation is made more difficult by three facts. Thus, the original argument, which invoked merely that the new car was a Subaru is not as strong as the argument that the car was constructed with the same quality parts and quality assembly as the other cars Id owned (and that had been reliable for me). In contrast, if this new Subaru was made after Subaru was bought by some other car company, and if the engine and transmission were actually made by this new car company, then my argument is weakened. If having property P is a logical consequence of having properties Q1 Assuming the truth of the two premises, it seems that it simply must be the case that Socrates is mortal. Inductive reasoning involves drawing a general conclusion from specific examples. Furthermore, one might be told that a valid deductive argument is one in which it is impossible for the conclusion to be false given its true premises, whereas that is possible for an inductive argument. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2002. Inductive and deductive arguments are two types of reasoning that allow us to reach conclusions from a premise. Perhaps it is easy to accept such a consequence. But do note that the strength of some arguments by analogy is highly debatable: in chapter 4, I gave the example of the argument by design, which many theologians continue to use, and many others continue to critique. Probably all parrots imitate the sounds they hear. This is especially the case when related to other philosophical views which many philosophers would be inclined to accept, although some of the problems that many of the proposed distinctions face may be judged to be more serious than others. What is the Argument? If it would, one can judge the argument to be strong. Rather, it is a mistaken form of inference. Jos does not eat well and always gets sick. 2. mosquitoes transmit dengue. You can also look into the two main methods of inductive reasoning, enumerative and eliminative. By contrast, inductive arguments are said to be those that make their conclusions merely probable. An explicit distinction between two fundamentally distinct argument types goes back to Aristotle (384-322 B.C.E.) Thus, strictly speaking, these various necessitarian proposals apply only to a distinction between valid deductive arguments and inductive arguments. A good case can be made that all valid deductive arguments embody logical rules (such as modus ponens or modus tollens). Gabriel is already an adult and is not circumcised. Accordingly, one might expect an encyclopedic article on deductive and inductive arguments to simply report the consensus view and to clearly explain and illustrate the distinction for readers not already familiar with it. See detailed licensing information. Similarity comes in degrees. We are both human beings, so you also probably feel pain when you are hit in the face with a hockey puck. Perhaps the fundamental nature of arguments is relative to individuals intentions or beliefs, and thus the same argument can be both deductive and inductive. In a deductive logic, the premises of a valid deductive argument logically entail the conclusion, where logical entailment means that every logically possible state of affairs that makes the premises true must make the conclusion true as well. 120-12I) by the assertion ,:at although inductive reasoning is possible in a' chance ' universe, Anyone acquainted with introductory logic texts will find quite familiar many of the following characterizations, one of them being the idea of necessity. For example, McInerny (2012) states that a deductive argument is one whose conclusion always follows necessarily from the premises. An inductive argument, by contrast, is one whose conclusion is merely made probableby the premises. The primary attraction of these purporting or aiming approaches is that they promise to sidestep the thorny problems with the psychological and behavioral approaches detailed above by focusing on a feature of arguments themselves rather than on the persons advancing them. Hence, it could still be the case that any argument is deductive or inductive, but never both. All of this would seem to be amongst the least controversial topics in philosophy. Examples: Inductive reasoning. . Consequently, the reasoning clause is ambiguous, since it may mean either that: (a) there is a logical rule that governs (that is, justifies, warrants, or the like) the inference from the premise to the conclusion; or (b) some cognitional agent either explicitly or implicitly uses a logical rule to reason from one statement (or a set of statements) to another. There is no need to rehearse the by-now familiar worries concerning these issues, given that these issues are nearly identical to the various ones discussed with regard to the aforementioned psychological approaches. You and I are both human beings, so the color you experience when you see something green probably has the exact same quality. A Discourse on the Method. Someone may say one thing, but intend or believe something else. Descartes, Ren. Initially, therefore, this approach looks promising. That way, both objects may have the same color, but this does not mean that they have the same size. Eight equals itself (8 1 = 8). So, were probably having tacos for lunch. Vaughn, Lewis. Deductive arguments may be said to be valid or invalid, and sound or unsound. New York: Harcourt, Brace, and World, 1975. In some cases, it simply cannot be known. And kills the child two types of reasoning that uses formal logic and observations to prove a theory or.. If one finds these consequences irksome, one is to claim that two distinct things are exactly,! Similar tastes in movies usually, or at least in this case adding. Relevant disanalogies between the two things being compared would n't think that a watch can about... Rational agents do on some occasions two categorically different argument types goes back to Aristotle ( 384-322 B.C.E )... Give the following argument: this argument is of course not deductively valid understand the and!, there are other troubling consequences of adopting a psychological approach to consider true in the future something that rational. Is more likely for X to be examined more closely mistaken form of inference, leaving his car.. That uses formal logic and observations to prove a theory or hypothesis locution contained in metaphor for explaining relationship... The Free Press, 1967 then it is more likely for X to both! 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